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Trump budget wants to halve oil stockpile, open Arctic refuge to drilling

WASHINGTON (Reuters) — US President Donald Trump's White House wants to sell half of the nation's emergency oil stockpile and open the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to drilling as part of plans to balance the budget over the next 10 years, documents by the administration showed.

Photo Courtesy of Reuters.
Photo Courtesy of Reuters.

The White House budget, which will be delivered to Congress on Tuesday, is meant as a proposal and may not take effect in its current form. But it reveals the administration's policy hopes, which include ramping up American energy output.

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the world's largest, holds about 688 MMbbl of crude oil in heavily guarded underground caverns in Louisiana and Texas. Congress created it in 1975 after the Arab oil embargo caused fears of long-term motor fuel price spikes that would harm the US economy.

The Trump budget proposes to start selling SPR oil in fiscal year 2018, which begins on Oct. 1, with sales that would generate $500 MM, according to the documents. The sales from the reserve would gradually rise over the following years, peaking at nearly $3.9 B in 2027, and totaling nearly $16.6 B from 2018 to 2027.

The announcement surprised oil markets, and pulled down US crude prices for immediate delivery to just over $50/bbl during Asian trading hours.

Yet the bigger effect, if implemented, would be more long-term as it is planned to last a decade. The Brent forward curve shows prices rising towards $55.60/bbl by April 2018, but then declining towards $53.75/bbl by late 2018.

The White House budget plan, released just after Trump left Saudi Arabia, the defacto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is seen as undermining OPEC-led plans to tighten global markets by cutting production, and points towards a future of ongoing ample supplies.

ARCTIC DRILLING

The Trump budget would also seek to raise $1.8 B over the coming decade by leasing oil in the Arctic National Wildlife Reserve, the largest protected wilderness in the United States, believed to hold rich reserves of crude.

Increased drilling in Alaska would add to rising US oil production which, largely thanks to shale, has jumped over 10% since mid-2016 to 9.3 MMbpd.

US politicians have been debating whether to open the reserve in northeastern Alaska to drilling since the 1970s, with opponents citing the risk of spills and the contribution to global climate change.

Trump has already moved to expand US offshore drilling, including in parts of the Arctic, as part of his broader effort to support the oil and gas industries. He has also moved to trim the US Environmental Protection Agency, including by proposing a more than 30% cut to its funding.

Mick Mulvaney, the director of the Office of Management and Budget, told reporters on Monday that the overall budget proposal was part of an effort to help the US economy grow at a rate of 3% a year.

"It drives our tax reform policy, our regulatory policy, trade, energy ... everything is keyed toward getting us back to 3%," he said.

The White House did not immediately respond to questions about the energy-related budget proposals.

Trump's budget would also restart a nuclear waste fund that would bring in more than $3 B by 2027.

The Obama administration stopped charging nuclear energy utilities the fee in 2014 after it stopped the licensing process for Nevada's Yucca Mountain—a waste dump that cost the government billions of dollars but never opened.

The Trump administration proposed reviving Yucca in details of the budget released in March.

Reporting by Timothy Gardner in WASHINGTON; Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in SINGAPORE; Editing by Cynthia Osterman and Richard Pullin

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